Choosing the right time to buy an apartment is an individual decision that depends on your needs and capabilities. However, understanding the seasonal fluctuations in property prices can have a significant impact on your budget and satisfaction. That's why we decided to analyse the trends to help you make the most of your investment in square metres.

If you have long dreamed of buying your own home in a modern, brand-new residential complex without overpaying, try to plan your purchase for a more favourable season.

Seasonal opportunities for investors

Traditionally, in Ukraine, real estate investment is revived in spring and autumn, while in summer and winter there is a decline in demand. Such seasonal fluctuations are influenced by the economic and political situation, changes in legislation, etc. Investors are also often guided by psychological factors, such as the desire to change their home before the new school year, before or after the winter holidays.

In general, each season brings its own opportunities for those who want to buy an apartment as profitably as possible. And here it is important to consider the purpose for which you will make a purchase: is it a home for your family, or perhaps a way to diversify your investment capital.

• Spring (March-May). Compared to the winter period, the demand for real estate increases by 10-15%, and prices rise by 5-7%. Therefore, it is during this period that you will have a greater choice, but you will have to make a decision faster.
• Summer (June-August) is a time of summer holidays, which is characterised by a decrease in demand. In order to stimulate potential investors, developers offer small discounts, usually 3 to 5%. This trend offers good opportunities for investors looking for the best value for money.
• Autumn (September-November) is a period of price stabilisation with a gradual increase of 2-3%. At this time, apartments are bought by investors who are more prudent and look for offers with minimal risk.
• Winter (December-February) is a time of exclusive offers. As demand is at its lowest in winter, primary property prices fall by 5-10%. Developers offer promotions and discounts, and it is during this period that prices per square metre are the most pleasant. However, you should prepare for the fact that the choice will be quite limited.

Other factors affecting property prices

In addition to seasonal fluctuations, the cost of square metres in new buildings is also affected by other factors that should not be ignored when planning a purchase.

• Stage of construction. Buying at the stage of excavation is the most favourable, and as the commissioning date approaches, the price increases.
• Reputation of the developer. Reliable companies offer a higher price, but guarantee quality and timing.
• Presentable and promising location of the residential complex. Developed infrastructure, good transport interchange, proximity to Kyiv - all this increases the cost of an apartment.
• Currency exchange rate, inflation rate, and other factors.

Additional tips for investors

Before you start looking for your ideal property, determine the budget you are willing to spend on buying an apartment and don't forget to take into account additional costs such as taxes and commissions. Carefully check the developer's reputation, experience and availability of the necessary documents. When looking at an apartment, pay attention to the quality of construction, layout and state of communications. Read the purchase agreement carefully and consult a lawyer if you have any questions or doubts.

Some analytics and forecasts for 2025 instead of conclusions

Given the military and political situation, the real estate market in Ukraine is volatile and unpredictable. Nevertheless, as of March 2025, it is showing some stability after a long period of turbulence. The dynamics of prices for primary residential property in Kyiv and the nearest suburbs of the capital is particularly striking.

Today, the average price per square metre in new buildings near Kyiv is UAH 25,000-30,000. For comparison, we also provide prices for apartments from the developer at different stages of construction in other cities of Ukraine:

• Kyiv - from UAH 35,000 to 70,000 per sq m;
• Lviv - from 25,000 to 60,000 UAH/m²;
• Odesa - from UAH 20,000 to 55,000 per sq m;
• Dnipro - from UAH 18,000 to 45,000 per sq m;
• Kropyvnytskyi - from UAH 15,000 to 35,000 per sq m;
• Zhytomyr - from UAH 18,000 to 40,000 per sq m;
• Zaporizhzhia - from UAH 16,000 to 38,000 per sq m.

Analysts note the active growth of the market and forecast a steady increase in primary property prices of 10-15% over the course of the year. Given the stability of the military and political situation, the return on investment in new buildings at the excavation stage is expected to reach 30-40% after commissioning.

The Ministry of Finance forecasts a gradual decline in lending rates to 15-17%, which will stimulate demand for mortgage lending. The market will also be supported by housing rehabilitation and construction support programmes, which will also create additional opportunities for investors. With inflation forecast to reach 7-9%, investing in real estate is one of the most effective ways to protect your assets. Of course, experts' forecasts may not come true if the situation in the country deteriorates in any way, but it should be remembered that real estate is one of the least risky niches for investment.